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|+||====== Bayesian Thinking ======|
|+||Bayesian thinking is built around probabilistic thinking: ‘what is the likelihood of this being correct?’. As new information is learned, incorporate that with the old and adjust the estimated probabilities accordingly.|
|+||Beware of recency bias. Just because information is new does not make it more factual or accurate than older information.|
|+||Bayesian thinking allows for greyscale beliefs. Confidence fluctuates as new information is brought to bear.|
|+||===== External Links =====|